mt logoMyToken
ETH Gas
EN
11:26
Ahead of the non-farm payrolls report, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in September rose to 60% on Polymarket, a 9% increase in 24 hours.
PPP forecasting market monitoring shows that ahead of the non-farm payrolls report, the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in September rose to 60% on Polymarket, a 9% increase in 24 hours; the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike fell to 42%, an 8% decrease in 24 hours. The US August non-farm payrolls report will be released tonight at 8:30 PM, with a median forecast of 56,000 new jobs, but the forecast range is extremely wide. Following the negative non-farm payrolls in July and the unexpectedly weak ADP data this week, be wary of further market volatility tonight's non-farm payrolls report. Join the PPP signal push community to get ahead of the curve and seize opportunities.
15:50
Polymarket launches perpetual contracts across the board, supporting cryptocurrency, stock, and commodity trading.
Odaily Planet Daily reports that prediction market Polymarket has officially launched its perpetual contract feature, supporting trading in assets such as cryptocurrencies, stocks, and commodities, with leverage up to 20x. On July 9, 2026, Polymarket launched trading on select assets, supporting 10 assets including Bitcoin, Ethereum, gold, and the S&P 500, with leverage up to 20x. Today, it officially launches perpetual futures trading with broader coverage.
15:49
Polymarket has officially launched its perpetual contract feature, supporting cryptocurrencies, stocks, commodities, and more.

According to BlockBeats, on September 3, prediction market Polymarket officially launched its perpetual contract feature, supporting trading in cryptocurrencies, stocks, commodities, and more, with leverage up to 20x.


On July 9, 2026, Polymarket launched trading on select assets, supporting 10 assets including BTC, ETH, gold, and the S&P 500, with leverage up to 20x. Today, it officially launched perpetual futures trading, covering a wider range of assets.

09:09
Hyperliquid: Permissionless deployment nearly tripled trading volume in the HIP-4 prediction market, but market access remains a major limitation.

According to BlockBeats, on September 3, Hyperliquid Research Collective (HRC) released a report stating that Hyperliquid's trading volume has grown rapidly since it opened up third-party permissionless deployment of the HIP-4 prediction market layer on August 29.


HIP-4's average daily trading volume in the first 28 days of August was approximately $545,000. After deployment, the daily trading volume rose to $1.97 million on August 31, and the trading volume in the last 24 hours reached $2.75 million. The number of active traders increased from 1,256 to 1,841.


The report points out that the prediction market project Outcome has become the main beneficiary, currently accounting for nearly 85% of the trading volume share of HIP-4, and its $1 million trading incentive program has further boosted liquidity growth.


HRC believes Hyperliquid's core advantage lies in its unified account system. Prediction markets share an account environment with perpetual contracts and HIP-3 assets, allowing users to hedge perpetual positions using prediction market contracts—an experience currently unavailable on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket. The sports prediction market may represent the biggest growth potential for HIP-4. During the previous World Cup, HIP-4-related markets saw a cumulative trading volume of $189.5 million, accounting for approximately 3% of the global World Cup prediction market trading volume.


However, HRC stated that the main limitation HIP-4 currently faces is not on-chain deployment, but rather regulatory access. The US market involves regulatory frameworks such as the CFTC and SEC, and sports prediction markets are particularly likely to trigger gambling-related regulatory scrutiny. HIP-4 has proven that permissionless deployment can rapidly increase transaction volume, but whether it can further expand its market share will depend on the regulatory environment, the recovery of the sports market, and future governance votes.

04:49
Polymarket's probability of GPT-6 being released before September 15th has risen to 88%, a 45% increase in the last 24 hours.
PPP prediction market monitoring shows that Polymarket's probability of GPT-6 being released before September 15th has risen to 88%, a 45% increase in 24 hours; the probability of being released before September 30th has risen to 90%, a 34% increase in 24 hours. If OpenAI releases GPT-6 to the public before the specified date in 2026, the event will be settled as "Yes," otherwise as "No." GPT-6 must be officially open to the public, including public testing or an open waiting list; closed testing or private access does not count. Eligible products must be explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g., ChatGPT-6o) or be recognized as the next-generation model of GPT-5. Products still belonging to the GPT-5 series, such as GPT-5.5, do not count. The settlement is primarily based on official OpenAI information and references credible media reports. Join the PPP signal push community to get ahead and seize opportunities.
00:42
The Clarity Act has a 15% chance of passing in 2026, and could face a procedural vote in the Senate as early as September 15.
According to data from the prediction market platform Polymarket, the probability of the CLARITY Act being passed and signed by the president in 2026 is 15%, with related contract trading volume estimated at $11.62 million. Kalshi data shows that the probability of this bill, or other eligible crypto market structure bills, becoming law by July 1, 2027, is 30%, and by January 1, 2028, it is 50%. During his testimony at a hearing on September 2, French Hill, chairman of the House Financial Services Committee, listed the House passage of the CLARITY Act as a committee achievement, stating that Republican committee members are pushing to enshrine related reforms into law, making financial rules long-term and predictable. The US Senate schedule indicates that the motion to end debate on HR 3633 is expected to enter the voting stage as early as 2:15 PM on September 15, typically requiring 60 votes. The Senate Banking Committee passed the bill on May 14 with 15 votes in favor and 9 against. Subsequent revisions will address the regulatory authority of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), consumer protection, illicit finance, DeFi, intermediary regulation, and disclosure requirements. (Bitcoin.com News)
06:27
Kalshi and Polymarket saw their trading volume decline by 14.5% month-over-month in August, marking the first drop in over a year.

According to BlockBeats, on September 2nd, the combined trading volume of Kalshi, Polymarket, and Polymarket US in August fell to $45.33 billion, a 14.5% decrease month-over-month, marking the first monthly decline since August 2025.


Kalshi's trading volume in August was $37.17 billion, a 7.3% decrease from $40.1 billion in July; Polymarket and its US platform combined had a trading volume of $8.16 billion, a 36.7% decrease from $12.89 billion in July. Despite the overall decline, August's trading volume was still significantly higher than May's $25.66 billion.


Previously, it was predicted that market trading volume would be boosted this summer by the World Cup, held from June 11 to July 19, which significantly increased market trading activity. Meanwhile, Kalshi and Polymarket are currently facing further scrutiny from US state regulators, with more than ten states taking enforcement action or filing lawsuits against the two platforms, primarily concerning sports-related contracts.

05:18
Polymarket's probability of "OpenAI's Astra launching before September 11th" has risen to 86%, a 41% increase in the last 24 hours.
PPP prediction market monitoring shows that the probability of OpenAI's Astra being released before September 11th has risen to 86%, a 41% increase in 24 hours; the probability of being released before September 15th has risen to 91%, a 29% increase in 24 hours. If OpenAI releases "Astra" to the public before the specified date, or releases a product whose model is confirmed by official sources or credible media to be the same as the previously announced "Astra," the event will be settled as "Yes"; otherwise, it will be settled as "No." Eligible models can use names such as Astra, Astra Astra 6, GPT-6 Astra, etc., and can also be renamed for release. Models such as GPT-5.7 and GPT-6 only count if confirmed to be the same model as the previously mentioned Astra. The model must be publicly available, including public testing or an open waiting list; closed testing and private access do not count. Settlement is primarily based on official OpenAI information and references consensus reports from credible media. Join the PPP signal push community to get ahead and seize opportunities.
05:00
For the first time, Kalshi and Polymarket's combined trading volume fell to $45.33 billion in August, marking their first monthly decline.
According to Odaily Planet Daily, the combined monthly trading volume of Kalshi and Polymarket fell to $45.33 billion in August, a 14.5% decrease month-over-month, marking the first monthly decline since August 2025. Trading volume in the prediction market rose during the World Cup from June 11 to July 19, but declined in August after the tournament ended. Kalshi's August trading volume was $37.17 billion, a 7.3% decrease month-over-month; Polymarket and its US platform's combined trading volume was $8.16 billion, a 36.7% decrease month-over-month. August's trading volume was higher than May's $25.66 billion.
04:06
PONS earned approximately $4.73 million in fees in a single day, exceeding the combined total of Hyperliquid, Polymarket, and Fomo.
According to data from Odaily Planet Daily, PONS generated approximately $4.73 million in transaction fees in the past 24 hours, exceeding the combined $3.461 million from Hyperliquid, Polymarket, and Fomo. Furthermore, PONS's daily transaction fees also surpassed the combined $4.65 million from the network transaction fees of Robinhood Chain, BSC, and Solana. Bubblemaps notes that the public chain data only includes network transaction fees and does not include fees generated by their upper-layer protocols.
03:27
A trader who claimed to "like going all in on .eth" suffered a margin call after going long on gold, losing $1.27 million.

According to BlockBeats, on September 2nd, a whale account named "Likes to Go All In.eth" experienced forced liquidation of its long gold positions. This address had previously established a long GOLD position on August 31st at an average price of $4422.3, using 20x isolated margin, with a position size approaching $2 million.


During today's gold price decline, the trader proactively reduced their position by 154.20 contracts near $4311, incurring a loss of approximately $17,200. The remaining 298.05 contracts were subsequently liquidated by the system at approximately $4290.06, amounting to approximately $1,279,000, resulting in a further loss of approximately $39,400. The total loss from this round of gold trading was approximately $56,600.


As of press time, the gold position at this address has been reduced to zero, but the account has not been completely closed out: it still holds approximately $187,000 in xyz:CBRS long positions; its perpetual historical cumulative PnL is still approximately positive $308,000.


Furthermore, the wallet controlled by this address on the blockchain also corresponds to the Polymarket public account "Azen". In its very early stages, Azen bet approximately $999 that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates by more than 50 basis points after its September meeting, ultimately achieving a profit of approximately $1890. However, this is Azen's only publicly completed transaction on Polymarket to date.


Address: 0xfe40fa3decfc6dc555f4ad7736d0dd65ccbd4743


The on-chain Perp and address analysis tool TradingBeats are now live, supporting real-time viewing of Hyperliquid data, from address tracing to whale operations, providing in-depth analysis and a complete overview.

12:39
On Polymarket, the probability of Gemini 4.0 being released before September 30th is currently listed at 35%, up 12% in the last 24 hours.
According to PPP forecasting market tools, Polymarket currently reports a 35% probability of Gemini 4.0 being released before September 30th, a 12% increase in the last 24 hours. If Google makes the Gemini 4.0 Flash model publicly available before the listed date, the event will be rated "Yes"; otherwise, it will be rated "No." For a "Yes" rating, Gemini 4.0 must be officially released and made publicly available, including public testing or an open rolling waitlist; closed testing or private access does not count. Gemini 4.0 must be explicitly released under this name or be recognized as the successor to Gemini 3. Gemini 3.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, etc., do not meet these criteria. The rating is primarily based on official Google information and references credible media reports. Join the PPP signal push community to get a head start and seize opportunities.
10:37
On Polymarket, the probability of WTI crude oil breaking through $90/barrel in September has risen to 77%, up 17% in the last 24 hours.
PPP's market forecasting tool shows that in Polymarket's "WTI crude oil price September target price" prediction event, the probability of breaking through $90/barrel has risen to 77%, an increase of 17% in 24 hours; the probability of breaking through $95/barrel is currently at 47%, an increase of 18% in 24 hours. The US-Iran conflict continues to escalate. Today, two supertankers were struck by unidentified objects while passing through the Strait of Hormuz in the Persian Gulf, further exacerbating market concerns about crude oil supply. Affected by this, international oil prices continued to rise, with WTI crude oil once approaching $88/barrel and Brent crude oil breaking through $92/barrel. Join the PPP signal push community to get ahead of the curve and seize opportunities.
04:31
fomo co-founder: The platform is growing rapidly, adding 30 new users every minute.

According to BlockBeats, on September 1st, @seyong, co-founder of the social trading application platform fomo, posted on the X platform that the platform has recently experienced rapid growth, adding 30 new users per minute.


Other data shows that in the week ending August 24, the weekly transaction volume of social trading apps approached $1.3 billion. Fomo and Pump's daily active users are approaching those of Polymarket, Hyperliquid, and Phantom, ranging from 60,000 to 100,000 respectively.

03:45
Social trading applications are driving this round of on-chain market activity, with weekly transaction volume approaching $1.3 billion.

According to BlockBeats, on September 1st, Ryan Watkins, co-founder of Syncracy Capital, stated that social trading apps will integrate market data, public trading records, discussions, and trade execution features. In the future, we may see individual traders showcasing nine-figure trading results, users with highly followed profit and loss leaderboards, and online groups managing large sums of money. The next Roaring Kitty may emerge through a social trading app.


Data shows that in the week ending August 24, the weekly transaction volume of social trading apps approached $1.3 billion. Fomo and Pump's daily active users are approaching those of Polymarket, Hyperliquid, and Phantom, ranging from 60,000 to 100,000 respectively.

03:34
Social commerce app's weekly transaction volume is approaching $1.3 billion; the next Roaring Kitty may be on the horizon.
According to Ryan Watkins, co-founder of Syncracy Capital, as reported by Odaily, social trading apps will integrate market data, public trading records, discussions, and trade execution functions. In the future, we may see individual traders showcasing nine-figure trading results, users with highly followed profit and loss leaderboards, and online groups managing large sums of money. The next Roaring Kitty may emerge through a social trading app. DefiLlama data shows that as of the week ending August 24, weekly trading volume on social trading apps approached $1.3 billion. Fomo and Pump have daily active users approaching those of Polymarket, Hyperliquid, and Phantom, with each platform having approximately 60,000 to 100,000 users. Social trading apps account for about 33% of Hyperliquid developer code trading volume. Pump has paid out over $450 million in rewards to token deployers, and users typically pay a 2% to 3% fee when exchanging Meme tokens. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has warned that social media recommendations may involve pump-and-dump schemes, undisclosed promotions, scalping, and impersonation; insufficient liquidity in Meme coin may also limit large-scale copy trading. (Bitcoin.com News)
00:23
Polymarket plans to raise $1 billion, with 1789 Capital leading the round with $300 million, valuing the company at $21 billion post-money.

According to a Bloomberg report on September 1st, sources familiar with the matter revealed that prediction market platform Polymarket plans to complete a $1 billion funding round, bringing its post-money valuation to $21 billion. The round was led by 1789 Capital, a venture capital firm with Donald Trump Jr. as a partner, which plans to invest approximately $300 million. A Polymarket spokesperson declined to comment.


Polymarket was valued at $15 billion when it raised funds in April, with DE Shaw and G Squared becoming new investors. Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, also completed a $1.6 billion investment in Polymarket earlier this year. The new funds will be used to attract more institutional users, and Polymarket is currently seeking regulatory approval to offer margin trading in the United States.


The prediction market industry continues to face regulatory controversy, with individual states claiming regulatory authority while the platforms argue that the federal derivatives regulator should be responsible. Last week, a U.S. federal appeals court ruled in favor of state regulations. Donald Trump Jr., a partner at 1789 Capital, currently advises both Polymarket and Kalshi.

23:48
Polymarket is reportedly poised to receive an additional $300 million investment from 1789 Capital, potentially valuing the company at $21 billion.
According to sources, 1789 Capital, a firm with Donald Trump Jr. as a partner, plans to lead a $1 billion funding round, investing approximately $300 million more in prediction market platform Polymarket. If the deal goes through, Polymarket's valuation could reach approximately $21 billion. 1789 Capital has already invested approximately $200 million and will become one of Polymarket's largest investors after the transaction. Currently, the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) is Polymarket's largest investor, having previously disclosed holding approximately $1.6 billion worth of Polymarket shares, representing about 22% of its issued shares.
20:18
The probability of the Clarity Act passing this year has dropped to 13%, with a procedural vote scheduled for September 15 in the Senate.
According to prediction market platform Polymarket, the implied probability of the CLARITY Act passing and becoming law in 2026 is 13%, with related contract trading volume around $11.5 million, a significant decrease from the 82% market pricing in February. The US Senate plans to hold a procedural vote on the bill on September 15th. The motion to terminate debate to initiate the vote was introduced by Majority Leader John Thune and typically requires 60 votes. Prediction market platform Kalshi gives a 91% probability of a Senate vote before October 1st, with related market trading volume exceeding $1.25 million. The CLARITY Act proposes to establish a federal regulatory framework for the crypto market, with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) solely regulating the spot digital commodities market, and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) responsible for certain securities issuance and exchange activities. The bill still faces disagreements regarding conflicts of interest between officials and the crypto industry, stablecoin yields, and the protection of decentralized finance and non-custodial software developers. (Bitcoin.com News)
14:31
C1 Fund bet on Polymarket in the second quarter, expanding its holdings to 11 crypto companies.
Odaily Planet Daily reports that C1 Fund (NYSE: CFND), a cryptocurrency investment fund, announced its second-quarter 2026 results. As of June 30, the fund's net asset value (NAV) was $42.63 million, with a NAV of $6.49 per share. The fair value of its portfolio was approximately $33.07 million, representing 77.5% of its net assets. C1 Fund added Polymarket in the second quarter, expanding its portfolio to 11 companies covering crypto payments, custody, compliance, staking, exchanges, development infrastructure, and prediction markets. Its two largest exposures are Ripple (17.5% of net assets) and Kraken's parent company, Payward (16.9%). As of July 31, C1 Fund had repurchased and cancelled 249,300 shares of the company's stock, at a total cost of approximately $824,000. The company is currently authorized to repurchase up to $3 million worth of stock. Management stated that repurchases when the share price is below NAV help increase the NAV per share for remaining shareholders. In addition, Kraken and Blockchain.com have publicly announced that they have secretly filed for potential IPOs with the U.S. SEC; BitGo completed its IPO in January 2026. C1 Fund also revealed that a previous early-stage issuer buyback by Ripple generated approximately a 150% return on investment for the fund in just over four months. (Businesswire)
Click to Load More