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As of the end of August, the probability of Alibaba AI Labs ranking third on the Arena.ai math leaderboard on Polymarket was 77%, a 56% increase in the last 24 hours.

2026-08-14 04:04:25
Shareshare
According to Polymarket's prediction market tool, in the prediction event "Which AI lab will rank third in the Arena.ai Math leaderboard as of the end of August?", Alibaba AI Lab's probability of ranking third is currently 77%, up 56% in the last 24 hours, while Google AI Lab's probability is currently 18%, down 47% in the last 24 hours. The market will calculate the ranking based on the company ranked third in Lab Rank after filtering "Labs" on the "Leaderboard" page when checking the Arena.ai Text Arena (Math) leaderboard at 12:00 PM ET on August 31, 2026. The specific ranking is based on the "Lab Rank" column in the Arena.ai "Text Arena | Math" leaderboard. During the check, Style Control must be turned off, Adjustments set to None, and "Labs" must be filtered. AI companies are initially ranked according to their Lab Rank at the time of the check. If lab rankings are ambiguous or unavailable, they will be sorted by the highest-ranked AI model from each AI company in the "Models" view of the leaderboard. If two or more models have the same ranking, they will be sorted by their Arena Score, including the exact, unrounded value from the leaderboard data. If they are still completely identical, the alphabetical order of the AI lab/company names listed in this marketplace will be used as the final criterion. Join the PPP signal push community to get ahead and seize opportunities.
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