PANews 4月28日消息,BitMEX联合创始人Arthur Hayes在比特币2026大会上表示,他对比特币的前景更加乐观。AI将取代大量知识工作者,可能给银行体系带来数千亿美元级别的信贷损失,类似“新次贷危机”。但美国已进入战时状态,新国防预算将增加约50%至1.5万亿美元,政府不会削减开支,反而会大量印钱。4月1日生效的增强版补充杠杆率新规允许银行持有更少准备金、更多国债,标普全球估计这将为银行体系释放约1.3万亿美元新增贷款能力,主要用于国防相关企业和AI基础设施。银行放贷的货币乘数效应约为3,最终可创造约4万亿美元信贷。美联储主席提名人Warsh将缩减美联储资产负债表,但同时放松银行监管,让商业银行接手国债和回购协议,净流动性影响中性,但货币创造主体从央行转向商业银行。新创造的信贷规模将超过AI破坏的信贷规模,因此比特币将继续走高,年底目标价约12.5万美元。
Arthur Hayes:预计比特币将继续走高,年底目标价约12.5万美元
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