A smart money investor bought $500,000 worth of World Cup group stage tickets, predicting the US would not beat Paraguay.

According to Odaily Seer, in the Polymarket prediction event for the "2026 World Cup Group D Round 1: USA vs. Paraguay," a "smart money" account (address: 0x38f0b76ed812c24166a4f6293f991ac4b9972768) with a win rate exceeding 51% purchased over $500,000 in bets that the USA would not defeat Paraguay. The average opening price was 51.2¢, resulting in a floating profit of $12,600. The USA team has home advantage and previously defeated Paraguay in a friendly match in November 2025. Paraguay, under coach Gustavo Alfaro, returns to the World Cup after a 16-year absence, known for its solid defense and set-piece threat. Regarding injuries, Paraguay's key player Julio Enciso is doubtful due to a muscle problem, while USA defender Chris Richards is confirmed to be available. Odaily Seer continuously focuses on the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.