Data: The probability of a diplomatic meeting between the US and Iran on Polymarket has risen to 54%, a 27% increase in the last 24 hours.

According to data from Polymarket, the probability of a diplomatic meeting between the US and Iran has risen to 54%, a 27% increase in 24 hours; the probability of a meeting before April 30th has risen to 94%, a 22% increase in 24 hours. The contractual rules clearly define a diplomatic meeting as a formal meeting where representatives of the US and Iran, in official capacity and authorized to represent their respective governments, conduct negotiations or diplomatic activities regarding US-Iran relations. Indirect meetings (such as those conducted through designated mediators, coordinators, or dialogue partners, with the relevant governments aware of and authorized by the mediators) also fall under the category of diplomatic meetings. Furthermore, the Pakistani Foreign Ministry stated that it has invited the US and Iran to Islamabad for a second round of negotiations, but the date and time have not yet been determined. Iranian Deputy Interior Minister Ali Zenivand called US President Trump's remarks about "destroying" Iranian civilization a "joke," and pointed out that "those who do not understand Iranian civilization cannot appreciate its power."