Huoxun Finance News, March 6th - According to Cointelegraph, US Democratic Senator Chris Murphy posted a video on the X platform stating that someone placed a "very specific bet" last Friday that "the US will go to war with Iran on Saturday." He pointed out that people close to Trump clearly knew about Saturday's actions in advance, and these bettors likely had inside information. Murphy warned that if such war betting continues, those around the president might "push us into war" because they could profit from it. Several related bets circulated widely on Polymarket last Saturday. Reuters reported that Murphy and Democratic Representative Mike Levin are drafting a bill to strengthen the regulation of prediction markets such as Polymarket and Kalshi. Levin stated that profiting from the supposed foresight of military action "should absolutely be illegal." He pointed out that while commodity laws prohibit contracts involving events "against the public interest," such as war and terrorism, current rules give prediction markets too much freedom.
US Democrats are considering legislation to restrict prediction markets, raising concerns about insider trading related to the Iran war.
2026-03-06 04:31:02
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