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The probability of "Ayatollah Khamenei's son becoming Iran's next Supreme Leader" on Polymarket has dropped to 50%.

2026-03-06 00:10:27
Shareshare
According to data from Polymarket, as reported by Odaily, the probability of "Mojtaba Khamenei, son of Ayatollah Khamenei, becoming Iran's next Supreme Leader" once rose to 82%, but has since fallen back to 50%, with trading volume exceeding $5 million. Previously, it was reported that Trump stated he would not accept Khamenei's son succeeding him as Supreme Leader and that he would personally be involved in Iran's succession arrangements.
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