According to Polymarket, a prediction market platform, as of February 14th, the probability of a "US government shutdown this Saturday" contract has dropped to 2%, a significant decrease from its previous high. The total trading volume for this contract is approximately $10.78 million. Previously, the market had priced in a higher shutdown risk, but this expectation was quickly revised as negotiations progressed.
Polymarket predicts the probability of a US government shutdown this Saturday has dropped to 2%.
2026-02-14 15:57:11
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