Polymarket predicts a 77% probability of a US government shutdown in January.

According to Polymarket data, traders predict a 77% chance of another US government shutdown by the end of January, a probability that has risen 67% in the past 24 hours. This comes after US President Donald Trump indicated that another Democratic-led government shutdown is possible. This expectation increases uncertainty surrounding the CLARITY Act's legislative timeline, following Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong and other executives withdrawing their support for the current version of the bill. Galaxy Digital's research director, Alex Thorn, stated that negotiations regarding stablecoin yields remain stalled, with neither side reaching a significant consensus on a compromise.