According to Odaily Planet Daily, blockchain analyst Ai Yi reported that the StakeStone team's associated address (0x7b6...bE78) deposited 16 million STO tokens, worth $2.87 million, into Bitget 8 hours ago. The funds originated from address 0x1Fe…19Bb5, the STO token deployment address.

According to Odaily Seer, the probability of a ceasefire between the US and Iran by April 30th on Polymarket briefly surged to 32%, currently trading at 28%, a 10% increase in 24 hours. The total trading volume for contracts related to the "US-Iran ceasefire" event has now exceeded $95 million. The contract rules state that if the US and Iran reach a formal ceasefire agreement (defined as a public announcement and mutual agreement to cease direct military action) by a specified date (11:59 PM Eastern Time), the market will mark it as "yes"; otherwise, it will be "no." A "formal ceasefire agreement" requires explicit public confirmation from both the US and Iranian governments that they have agreed to cease military hostilities against each other, or overwhelming consensus confirmed through media reports. Currently, the US, Iran, and regional mediators are urgently negotiating a 45-day temporary ceasefire agreement, aiming to create space for a permanent end to the war. The urgency stems from Trump's ultimatum, extending the original Monday deadline by 20 hours, setting the new deadline at 8 PM Eastern Time on Tuesday. The discussions reportedly focus on a two-phase plan: the first phase involves a 45-day temporary ceasefire, during which both sides will initiate in-depth negotiations on a permanent ceasefire, which could be extended if progress is smooth; the second phase involves reaching a final agreement, which will cover the complete reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and the disposal of Iran's highly enriched uranium (including its removal from Iran or dilution). Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing them in.

Token | Trading Volume 【TRUMP】29.25 million 【CORE】6.26 million 【FIL】20.20 million 【ONDO】6.30 million 【CHZ】4.79 million 【SUI】92.63 million 【MON】20.98 million 【BTC】3.10 billion 【DYDX】1.48 million 【OORT】34,770.64

According to market sources, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman privately stated this year that he hopes the company can complete its IPO as early as the fourth quarter. However, CFO Sarah Friar revealed to several colleagues that she believes the company is not yet ready for an IPO by 2026, citing reasons including the required processes and organizational workload, as well as the financial risks associated with high-value computing power purchase commitments. Internally, Altman has repeatedly excluded Friar from financial decision-making. In recent months, he did not invite Friar to participate in discussions with a top investor regarding server procurement, with one attendee describing his absence as "obvious and awkward"—Friar had previously participated in meetings on the same topic. Since August of last year, Friar no longer reports directly to Altman, but instead reports to Fidji Simo, head of applications, breaking the convention of large companies where CFOs typically report directly to the CEO. Financially, OpenAI has committed to investing over $600 billion in cloud servers over the next five years, internally predicting that it will burn through over $200 billion in cash before achieving positive cash flow. The $122 billion funding commitments announced this week primarily come from Amazon and Nvidia, both of which are also OpenAI's cloud server and chip suppliers, forming a circular capital arrangement. Furthermore, Anthropic has surpassed OpenAI as the preferred AI model for the enterprise and developer markets, and OpenAI's revenue growth is slowing. IPO preparations have quietly begun: OpenAI has engaged the law firms Cooley and Wachtell Lipton Rosen & Katz and has held preliminary discussions with the IPO teams of Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley. Altman privately expressed a desire to list earlier than Anthropic, which is currently discussing an IPO plan for the fourth quarter of this year. Subsequently, Altman and Friar executives issued a joint statement saying they were "fully aligned on computing power strategy."

According to Hyperbot data, Huang Licheng (aka "Machi Dage") closed all his long positions in BTC and HYPE this morning. He currently holds a 25x leveraged long position in Ethereum (ETH) of 8200 ETH at a liquidation price of $2002, with a total position value of $17.54 million and a floating profit of $465,000. He also placed 33 limit sell orders for ETH in the $2141-$2200 range. Looking at his trading data over the past week, Huang has closed 10 positions, with 8 of them profitable, resulting in an 80% win rate.