Odaily Seer's monitoring shows that the probability of "US military presence in Iran as of April 30" on Polymarket briefly surged to 96.5%, an 11% increase in 24 hours. According to Al Jazeera, a US government official told Al Jazeera that the second crew member of the downed F-15E fighter jet had been rescued, and the rescue operation was still ongoing. The missing crew member has been confirmed rescued but is not yet out of danger. They added that the rescue team still needs to successfully evacuate from Iran and return safely. According to Polymarket's criteria, if active-duty US military personnel actually entered Iran at any time before the specified date (Eastern Time), the market will rate it "yes." Otherwise, the market will rate it "no." Special operations forces personnel qualify; however, intelligence personnel are not included. US military personnel must actually enter Iranian land territory to qualify. Entry into Iranian waters or airspace is not counted. Odaily Seer continuously monitors the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.

Huoxun Finance reports that the Office of the Central Anti-Corruption Coordination Group for International Fugitive Repatriation and Asset Recovery and Cross-border Corruption Governance held a meeting to launch Operation "Skynet 2026." The operation includes: the National Supervisory Commission leading a special campaign to recover and mitigate losses from overseas assets related to duty-related crimes; the Ministry of Public Security launching Operation Fox Hunt; the People's Bank of China, in conjunction with the Ministry of Public Security, conducting a special campaign to prevent and combat the transfer of illicit funds overseas through offshore companies and underground banks; and the Organization Department of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, together with the Ministry of Public Security and the National Immigration Administration, focusing on the management of positions held by officials whose spouses have emigrated abroad and addressing violations by public officials regarding private overseas travel.

According to Huoxun Finance, approximately 3,705,543 Rain tokens, worth about $271 million, will be unlocked at 11:00 AM Beijing time on April 12.

According to data from RootData, a Web3 asset data platform, approximately 10.94 million Aptos (APT) tokens, worth about $9.27 million, will be unlocked at 8:00 AM Beijing time on April 12.

According to Al Jazeera, a U.S. government official stated that the second crew member of the downed F-15E fighter jet has been rescued after a “fierce firefight.” (Jin Shi)